BEGIN:VCALENDAR
VERSION:2.0
PRODID:-//UM//UM*Events//EN
CALSCALE:GREGORIAN
BEGIN:VTIMEZONE
TZID:America/Detroit
TZURL:http://tzurl.org/zoneinfo/America/Detroit
X-LIC-LOCATION:America/Detroit
BEGIN:DAYLIGHT
TZOFFSETFROM:-0500
TZOFFSETTO:-0400
TZNAME:EDT
DTSTART:20070311T020000
RRULE:FREQ=YEARLY;BYMONTH=3;BYDAY=2SU
END:DAYLIGHT
BEGIN:STANDARD
TZOFFSETFROM:-0400
TZOFFSETTO:-0500
TZNAME:EST
DTSTART:20071104T020000
RRULE:FREQ=YEARLY;BYMONTH=11;BYDAY=1SU
END:STANDARD
END:VTIMEZONE
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTAMP:20261102T082321
DTSTART;TZID=America/Detroit:20261113T143000
DTEND;TZID=America/Detroit:20261113T155000
SUMMARY:Workshop / Seminar:Confidence\, Inattention and First-Moment Effects of Information (joint with Ben Golub\, Northwestern University)
DESCRIPTION:We study canonical coordination models – with linear best responses to an uncertain state and to others' average action - in which\, under a common prior\, information has only second-moment effects. With heterogeneous priors and asymmetric information\, expected behavior itself depends on the information structure\, and we characterize how. As coordination strengthens\, behavior converges to a focal mean of groups' prior means\, weighted by size and resoluteness\, the share of the prior retained in the posterior: the consensus overweights confident and inattentive groups. In a team production problem inducing these best responses\, welfare depends primarily on the focal mean\, which agents unanimously prefer to increase: everyone would prefer that more optimistic agents be less precisely informed\, and so more resolute. When signals are noisy readings of a public announcement\, varying the announcement's clarity reallocates influence over the focal mean.  When coordination is mediated by a network\, network positions and resoluteness effects interact in a way that is qualitatively richer than in a homogeneous population.
UID:149503-21906530@events.umich.edu
URL:https://events.umich.edu/event/149503
CLASS:PUBLIC
STATUS:CONFIRMED
CATEGORIES:Economics,seminar,Theory
LOCATION:North Quad - 4300
CONTACT:
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTAMP:20261102T093006
DTSTART;TZID=America/Detroit:20261117T130000
DTEND;TZID=America/Detroit:20261117T142000
SUMMARY:Workshop / Seminar:Local Asymptotics for Treatment Choice with Partial Identification
DESCRIPTION:We provide a new asymptotic framework to derive approximately optimal treatment assignments when sampling noise from data is compounded by fundamental uncertainty due to partial identification. We recenter the reduced-form parameter around its \emph{least-favorable} configuration and consider drifting parameter sequences that yield both diminishing levels of sampling uncertainty and of partial identification. We characterize the limiting decision problem as a normal location shift model with a suitable limiting identified set. We apply our results to treatment choice problems with contaminated outcomes\, to robust welfare analyses with partially identified consumer surplus\, and to the problem of aggregating experimental estimates for policy adoption.
UID:149504-21906531@events.umich.edu
URL:https://events.umich.edu/event/149504
CLASS:PUBLIC
STATUS:CONFIRMED
CATEGORIES:Economics,seminar,Theory
LOCATION:North Quad - 4300
CONTACT:
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTAMP:20260721T144256
DTSTART;TZID=America/Detroit:20261204T140000
DTEND;TZID=America/Detroit:20261204T155000
SUMMARY:Workshop / Seminar:Economic Theory Seminar: Friday\, December 4
DESCRIPTION:--
UID:149505-21906532@events.umich.edu
URL:https://events.umich.edu/event/149505
CLASS:PUBLIC
STATUS:CONFIRMED
CATEGORIES:Economics,seminar,Theory
LOCATION:North Quad - 4300
CONTACT:
END:VEVENT
END:VCALENDAR