{ "108564-21819973": { "datetime_modified":"20231205T152024", "datetime_start":"20231205T160000", "datetime_end":"20231205T173000", "has_end_time":1, "date_start":"2023-12-05", "date_end":"2023-12-05", "time_start":"16:00:00", "time_end":"17:30:00", "time_zone":"America\/Detroit", "event_title":"STAR Scholars Fall Seminar Series", "occurrence_title":"Life of a doctor \u2013 but not that kind!", "combined_title":"STAR Scholars Fall Seminar Series: Life of a doctor \u2013 but not that kind!", "event_subtitle":"", "event_type":"Workshop \/ Seminar", "event_type_id":"21", "description":"", "occurrence_notes":null, "guid":"108564-21819973@events.umich.edu", "permalink":"http:\/\/events.umich.edu\/event\/108564", "building_id":"", "building_name":"", "campus_maps_id":"", "room":"", "location_name":"", "has_livestream":0, "cost":"", "tags":["Sessions"], "website":"https:\/\/sessions.studentlife.umich.edu\/p\/track\/9387", "sponsors":[ { "group_name":"Sessions @ Michigan", "group_id":"4791", "website":"https:\/\/sessions.studentlife.umich.edu\/" } ], "image_url":"", "styled_images":{ "event_thumb":"", "event_large":"", "event_large_2x":"", "event_large_lightbox":"", "group_thumb":"", "group_thumb_square":"", "group_large":"", "group_large_lightbox":"", "event_large_crop":"", "event_list":"", "event_list_2x":"", "event_grid":"", "event_grid_2x":"", "event_feature_large":"", "event_feature_thumb":"" }, "occurrence_count":1, "first_occurrence":21819973 } , "115519-21834947": { "datetime_modified":"20231220T123134", "datetime_start":"20231205T160000", "datetime_end":"20231205T164500", "has_end_time":1, "date_start":"2023-12-05", "date_end":"2023-12-05", "time_start":"16:00:00", "time_end":"16:45:00", "time_zone":"America\/Detroit", "event_title":"USA - Campus - EY Upskilling Series: Resume Writing", "occurrence_title":"", "combined_title":"USA - Campus - EY Upskilling Series: Resume Writing", "event_subtitle":"", "event_type":"Careers \/ Jobs", "event_type_id":"2", "description":"IMPORTANT: You must register externally on the yello.co page in order to receive the event joining information. You will not be able to join the event directly through Handshake.\n\nLearn how to give the \"write\" impression at our Resume Writing Session! Join EY Campus Recruiters as they cover the fundamentals of resume writing. We ensure that you will stepaway from the session with more knowledge on how you can enhance your resume to stand out during the application process.", "occurrence_notes":null, "guid":"115519-21834947@events.umich.edu", "permalink":"http:\/\/events.umich.edu\/event\/115519", "building_id":"", "building_name":"", "campus_maps_id":"", "room":"", "location_name":"", "has_livestream":0, "cost":"", "tags":[], "website":"", "sponsors":[ { "group_name":"University Career Center UCC", "group_id":"1140", "website":"http:\/\/careercenter.umich.edu" } ], "image_url":"", "styled_images":{ "event_thumb":"", "event_large":"", "event_large_2x":"", "event_large_lightbox":"", "group_thumb":"", "group_thumb_square":"", "group_large":"", "group_large_lightbox":"", "event_large_crop":"", "event_list":"", "event_list_2x":"", "event_grid":"", "event_grid_2x":"", "event_feature_large":"", "event_feature_thumb":"" }, "occurrence_count":1, "first_occurrence":21834947 } , "110150-21824407": { "datetime_modified":"20231128T121724", "datetime_start":"20231205T163000", "datetime_end":"20231205T180000", "has_end_time":1, "date_start":"2023-12-05", "date_end":"2023-12-05", "time_start":"16:30:00", "time_end":"18:00:00", "time_zone":"America\/Detroit", "event_title":"Professors Gordon Belot, James M. Joyce, and Laura Ruetsche's Collegiate Professorship in Philosophy, Inaugural Lecture", "occurrence_title":"", "combined_title":"Professors Gordon Belot, James M. Joyce, and Laura Ruetsche's Collegiate Professorship in Philosophy, Inaugural Lecture", "event_subtitle":"", "event_type":"Lecture \/ Discussion", "event_type_id":"13", "description":"This event will take place both in person and virtually. Additional details regarding each lecture can be found below.\r\n\r\nProfessor Gordon Belot, the Lawrence Sklar Collegiate Professor of Philosophy\r\n\r\nLecture Title: On the Road to Truth\r\n\r\nAbstract: This talk will explore some questions raised by Larry Sklar in Theory and Truth. What does it mean to be a realist about our scientific theories in our present predicament, in which we are virtually certain that the best theories of physics cannot be true, strictly speaking, because they break down or make false predictions in certain regimes? Sklar suggests that to be a realist in this setting is to be confident that our best current theories are in some sense stations on the road to truth\u2014but what precisely does that mean? \r\n\r\nProfessor James M. Joyce, the Cooper Harold Langford Collegiate Professor of Philosophy\r\n\r\nLecture Title: Decision Making and the Accuracy of Beliefs\r\n\r\nLecture Abstract: Epistemologists have long focused on belief as the basic epistemic attitude, with the understanding that a belief is fully successful only if true. In the 20th Century, however, some philosophers began to see degrees of confidence, or credences, as more fundamental, largely because of their ties to rational action. The philosopher Frank Ramsey and statistician Bruno de Finetti famously argued that (i) a rational person's credences will be revealed in her betting behavior, and (ii) that a person whose credences do not obey the laws of probability will accept \"books\" of bets that, in the aggregate, lose money no matter what the world is like. These \"pragmatic\" (action centered) arguments were used to justify probabilism, the idea that rational credences must be subjective probabilities. But, many epistemologists were dissatisfied with this pragmatic approach since it did not ultimately relate the quality of credences to their accuracy or \"closeness to the truth\". As a response to these complaints, I sought to define a meaningful sense of accuracy for credences, and to show that probabilism could be seen as a means to pursuing credal accuracy. I knew de Finetti had offered an argument that could be adapted for this purpose, but it had limited applicability and was still pragmatic in spirit. While searching for something more general, and more clearly epistemic, I was attending the UM Decision Consortium, run by Frank Yates of the Psychology Department. One day Frank pointed me to his wonderful book Judgment and Decision Making, which introduced me to the use of strictly proper scoring rules to measure the accuracy of probabilistic forecasts. This turned out to be exactly what I needed! In two related papers, I argued that any reasonable score of credal accuracy should be a strictly proper scoring rule, and that for a wide range of such rules probabilism follows in this sense: for any system of credences that violates the laws of probability there is a system of credences that satisfies those laws and is more accurate in every possible state of the world. \r\n\r\nProfessor Laura Ruetsche, the Louis E. Loeb Collegiate Professor of Philosophy\r\n\r\nLecture Title: \"The Physics of Ignorance: Believe It or Not?\"\r\n\r\nLecture Abstract: Should we believe our very best theories of physics? Scientific realists urge that we should: the best way to make sense of a theory's remarkable success, they argue, is to suppose that the world is (more or less) the way that theory says it is. Most physicists regard our very best theories of physics, including those making up the Standard Model of contemporary particle physics, to be effective theories. Not itself fundamentally or universally valid, an effective theory is rather, within an avowedly limited domain, an able mimic of more fundamental theories. But what do we believe, when we believe an able mimic? And is that something we should believe? I'll critically consider a resourceful realist answer to these questions. I'll also defend an alternative that becomes available once we liberate ourselves from a constrictive presupposition: that to understand a theory, we must articulate the way that theory says the world is.\r\n\r\nIf you are unable to join us in person, please click the link below to join the webinar:\r\nhttps:\/\/umich.zoom.us\/j\/94991398665\r\nOr One tap mobile :\r\n +13126266799,,94991398665# US (Chicago)\r\n +16468769923,,94991398665# US (New York)\r\nOr Telephone:\r\n Dial(for higher quality, dial a number based on your current location):\r\n +1 312 626 6799 US (Chicago)\r\n +1 646 876 9923 US (New York)\r\n +1 646 931 3860 US\r\n +1 301 715 8592 US (Washington DC)\r\n +1 305 224 1968 US\r\n +1 309 205 3325 US\r\n +1 346 248 7799 US (Houston)\r\n +1 360 209 5623 US\r\n +1 386 347 5053 US\r\n +1 507 473 4847 US\r\n +1 564 217 2000 US\r\n +1 669 444 9171 US\r\n +1 669 900 6833 US (San Jose)\r\n +1 689 278 1000 US\r\n +1 719 359 4580 US\r\n +1 253 205 0468 US\r\n +1 253 215 8782 US (Tacoma)\r\n +1 778 907 2071 Canada\r\n +1 780 666 0144 Canada\r\n +1 204 272 7920 Canada\r\n +1 438 809 7799 Canada\r\n +1 587 328 1099 Canada\r\n +1 647 374 4685 Canada\r\n +1 647 558 0588 Canada\r\nWebinar ID: 949 9139 8665\r\n International numbers available: https:\/\/umich.zoom.us\/u\/acyk7LEIws\r\n\r\nOr an H.323\/SIP room system:\r\n H.323: \r\n 162.255.37.11 (US West)\r\n 162.255.36.11 (US East)\r\n 115.114.131.7 (India Mumbai)\r\n 115.114.115.7 (India Hyderabad)\r\n 213.19.144.110 (Amsterdam Netherlands)\r\n 213.244.140.110 (Germany)\r\n 103.122.166.55 (Australia Sydney)\r\n 103.122.167.55 (Australia Melbourne)\r\n 149.137.40.110 (Singapore)\r\n 64.211.144.160 (Brazil)\r\n 149.137.68.253 (Mexico)\r\n 69.174.57.160 (Canada Toronto)\r\n 65.39.152.160 (Canada Vancouver)\r\n 207.226.132.110 (Japan Tokyo)\r\n 149.137.24.110 (Japan Osaka)\r\n Meeting ID: 949 9139 8665\r\n SIP: 94991398665@zoomcrc.com", "occurrence_notes":null, "guid":"110150-21824407@events.umich.edu", "permalink":"http:\/\/events.umich.edu\/event\/110150", "building_id":"1000165", "building_name":"Weiser Hall", "campus_maps_id":"47", "room":"10th Floor", "location_name":"Weiser Hall", "has_livestream":0, "cost":"", "tags":["Philosophy"], "website":"", "sponsors":[ { "group_name":"The College of Literature, Science, and the Arts", "group_id":"1020", "website":"http:\/\/facebook.com\/UMichLSA" }, { "group_name":"Department of Philosophy", "group_id":"3186", "website":"http:\/\/www.lsa.umich.edu\/philosophy" }, { "group_name":"LSA AEM", "group_id":"3530", "website":"" } ], "image_url":"https:\/\/events.umich.edu\/media\/attachments\/2023\/11\/event_110150_original-1.png", "styled_images":{ "event_thumb":"https:\/\/events.umich.edu\/media\/cache\/event_thumb\/media\/attachments\/2023\/11\/event_110150_original-1.png", "event_large":"https:\/\/events.umich.edu\/media\/cache\/event_large\/media\/attachments\/2023\/11\/event_110150_original-1.png", "event_large_2x":"https:\/\/events.umich.edu\/media\/cache\/event_large_2x\/media\/attachments\/2023\/11\/event_110150_original-1.png", "event_large_lightbox":"https:\/\/events.umich.edu\/media\/cache\/event_large_lightbox\/media\/attachments\/2023\/11\/event_110150_original-1.png", "group_thumb":"https:\/\/events.umich.edu\/media\/cache\/resolve\/group_thumb\/media\/attachments\/2023\/11\/event_110150_original-1.png", "group_thumb_square":"https:\/\/events.umich.edu\/media\/cache\/resolve\/group_thumb_square\/media\/attachments\/2023\/11\/event_110150_original-1.png", "group_large":"https:\/\/events.umich.edu\/media\/cache\/resolve\/group_large\/media\/attachments\/2023\/11\/event_110150_original-1.png", "group_large_lightbox":"https:\/\/events.umich.edu\/media\/cache\/resolve\/group_large_lightbox\/media\/attachments\/2023\/11\/event_110150_original-1.png", "event_large_crop":"https:\/\/events.umich.edu\/media\/cache\/resolve\/event_large_crop\/media\/attachments\/2023\/11\/event_110150_original-1.png", "event_list":"https:\/\/events.umich.edu\/media\/cache\/resolve\/event_list\/media\/attachments\/2023\/11\/event_110150_original-1.png", "event_list_2x":"https:\/\/events.umich.edu\/media\/cache\/event_list_2x\/media\/attachments\/2023\/11\/event_110150_original-1.png", "event_grid":"https:\/\/events.umich.edu\/media\/cache\/event_grid\/media\/attachments\/2023\/11\/event_110150_original-1.png", "event_grid_2x":"https:\/\/events.umich.edu\/media\/cache\/resolve\/event_grid_2x\/media\/attachments\/2023\/11\/event_110150_original-1.png", "event_feature_large":"https:\/\/events.umich.edu\/media\/cache\/resolve\/event_feature_large\/media\/attachments\/2023\/11\/event_110150_original-1.png", "event_feature_thumb":"https:\/\/events.umich.edu\/media\/cache\/resolve\/event_feature_thumb\/media\/attachments\/2023\/11\/event_110150_original-1.png" }, "occurrence_count":1, "first_occurrence":21824407 } }