{ "151908-21912393": { "datetime_modified":"20260910T125258", "datetime_start":"20260925T100000", "datetime_end":"20260925T110000", "has_end_time":1, "date_start":"2026-09-25", "date_end":"2026-09-25", "time_start":"10:00:00", "time_end":"11:00:00", "time_zone":"America\/Detroit", "event_title":"Beyond Rankings: Bayesian Learning of Parity, Tiers, and Dynamic Regimes", "occurrence_title":"", "combined_title":"Beyond Rankings: Bayesian Learning of Parity, Tiers, and Dynamic Regimes: Guanyu Hu", "event_subtitle":"Guanyu Hu", "event_type":"Workshop \/ Seminar", "event_type_id":"21", "description":"Rankings are widely used to summarize comparative information, but they can suggest differences that the data do not strongly support. In paired-comparison data, two competitors may receive different ranks even when their underlying abilities are very similar. This raises a fundamental statistical question: when should competitors be ranked separately, and when should they be regarded as statistically tied?\n\nIn this talk, I will present a Bayesian framework for learning rank structure and competitive balance directly from paired-comparison data. A geometric constraint on latent abilities controls the extent of ability differences and allows rank tiers to emerge naturally when competitors are not meaningfully distinguishable. I will then extend the framework to longitudinal data using a hidden Markov model, allowing competitive balance and rank structure to change across persistent historical regimes.\n\nI will discuss the statistical formulation, computation, and theoretical properties of the model, and illustrate the approach with applications to the National Basketball Association and the English Premier League. These applications show how the framework can identify changes in competitive balance, recover meaningful rank tiers, and quantify uncertainty in rankings. More broadly, the framework provides a way to ask not only who ranks higher, but how much separation the data actually support.\n\n*Department reception in 450 West Hall after the seminar at 11:00 AM*", "occurrence_notes":null, "guid":"151908-21912393@events.umich.edu", "permalink":"http:\/\/events.umich.edu\/event\/151908", "building_id":"1000167", "building_name":"West Hall", "campus_maps_id":"163", "room":"340", "location_name":"West Hall", "has_livestream":0, "cost":"", "tags":["Talk","statistics","seminar","Research"], "website":"", "sponsors":[ { "group_name":"Department of Statistics", "group_id":"3473", "website":"" } ], "image_url":"https:\/\/events.umich.edu\/media\/attachments\/2026\/09\/event_151908_original-1.jpg", "styled_images":{ "event_thumb":"https:\/\/events.umich.edu\/media\/cache\/event_thumb\/media\/attachments\/2026\/09\/event_151908_original-1.jpg", "event_large":"https:\/\/events.umich.edu\/media\/cache\/event_large\/media\/attachments\/2026\/09\/event_151908_original-1.jpg", "event_large_2x":"https:\/\/events.umich.edu\/media\/cache\/event_large_2x\/media\/attachments\/2026\/09\/event_151908_original-1.jpg", "event_large_lightbox":"https:\/\/events.umich.edu\/media\/cache\/event_large_lightbox\/media\/attachments\/2026\/09\/event_151908_original-1.jpg", "group_thumb":"https:\/\/events.umich.edu\/media\/cache\/resolve\/group_thumb\/media\/attachments\/2026\/09\/event_151908_original-1.jpg", "group_thumb_square":"https:\/\/events.umich.edu\/media\/cache\/resolve\/group_thumb_square\/media\/attachments\/2026\/09\/event_151908_original-1.jpg", "group_large":"https:\/\/events.umich.edu\/media\/cache\/resolve\/group_large\/media\/attachments\/2026\/09\/event_151908_original-1.jpg", "group_large_lightbox":"https:\/\/events.umich.edu\/media\/cache\/resolve\/group_large_lightbox\/media\/attachments\/2026\/09\/event_151908_original-1.jpg", "event_large_crop":"https:\/\/events.umich.edu\/media\/cache\/resolve\/event_large_crop\/media\/attachments\/2026\/09\/event_151908_original-1.jpg", "event_list":"https:\/\/events.umich.edu\/media\/cache\/resolve\/event_list\/media\/attachments\/2026\/09\/event_151908_original-1.jpg", "event_list_2x":"https:\/\/events.umich.edu\/media\/cache\/event_list_2x\/media\/attachments\/2026\/09\/event_151908_original-1.jpg", "event_grid":"https:\/\/events.umich.edu\/media\/cache\/event_grid\/media\/attachments\/2026\/09\/event_151908_original-1.jpg", "event_grid_2x":"https:\/\/events.umich.edu\/media\/cache\/event_grid_2x\/media\/attachments\/2026\/09\/event_151908_original-1.jpg", "event_feature_large":"https:\/\/events.umich.edu\/media\/cache\/resolve\/event_feature_large\/media\/attachments\/2026\/09\/event_151908_original-1.jpg", "event_feature_thumb":"https:\/\/events.umich.edu\/media\/cache\/event_feature_thumb\/media\/attachments\/2026\/09\/event_151908_original-1.jpg" }, "occurrence_count":1, "first_occurrence":21912393 } , "150527-21909562": { "datetime_modified":"20260911T092534", "datetime_start":"20260925T100000", "datetime_end":"20260925T110000", "has_end_time":1, "date_start":"2026-09-25", "date_end":"2026-09-25", "time_start":"10:00:00", "time_end":"11:00:00", "time_zone":"America\/Detroit", "event_title":"Craft Lecture by Richard Siken", "occurrence_title":"", "combined_title":"Craft Lecture by Richard Siken", "event_subtitle":"", "event_type":"Lecture \/ Discussion", "event_type_id":"13", "description":"Zell Visiting Writers Series craft lecutures are free and open to the public and will be offered both virtually (via Zoom) and in person (Michigan Union, Anderson D Room). Seats are offered on a first come, first served basis; please arrive early to secure a spot. Login here (no pre-registration needed): https:\/\/myumi.ch\/ZellWriters26\n\nRichard Siken is a poet and painter. His third collection of poems, *I Do Know Some Things* (Copper Canyon, 2025), was a finalist for the 2025 National Book Award in Poetry. His other books are *War of the Foxes* (Copper Canyon, 2015), a Lannan Literary Selection, and *Crush* (Yale University Press, 2005), winner of the Yale Series of Younger Poets Prize, selected by Louise Gl\u00fcck, the LAMBDA Literary Award for Gay Poetry, and The Publishing Triangle\u2019s Thom Gunn Award, as well as a finalist for the National Book Critics Circle Award in Poetry. Siken has received fellowships from Lannan Foundation and the National Endowment for the Arts. He lives in Tucson.\n\nFor any questions about the event or to share accommodation needs, please email zvwseries@umich.edu--we are eager to help ensure this event is inclusive to you. The building, event space, and restrooms are wheelchair accessible. Diaper changing tables are available in nearby restrooms. Gender-inclusive restroom is available on the third floor, Room 343T.\n\nASL interpreters and CART services at in-person events are available upon request; please email zvwseries@umich.edu at least two weeks prior to the event, whenever possible, to allow time to arrange services.\n\nU-M employees with a U-M parking permit may use the Church Street Parking Structure (525 Church St., Ann Arbor) or the Thompson Parking Structure (500 Thompson St., Ann Arbor). For Public Parking: The Maynard Street Public Parking Structure (324 Maynard St., Ann Arbor) or The Forest Avenue Public Parking Structure (650 South Forest Ave., Ann Arbor) . 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It takes just a quick cheek swab and under five minutes of your time to join the registry, giving patients battling blood cancers like leukemia and lymphoma a shot at a life-saving match. Many patients never find a donor, and young, diverse registrants are especially needed to fill gaps in the registry. Come swab, get free stuff, and help us keep building Michigan's #1 Gift of Life chapter in the country.", "occurrence_notes":null, "guid":"151993-21912587@events.umich.edu", "permalink":"http:\/\/events.umich.edu\/event\/151993", "building_id":"", "building_name":"", "campus_maps_id":"", "room":"", "location_name":"Outside Joes", "has_livestream":0, "cost":"", "tags":[], "website":"https:\/\/maizepages.umich.edu\/event\/12739986", "sponsors":[ { "group_name":"Maize Pages Student Organizations", "group_id":"2390", "website":"" } ], "image_url":"https:\/\/events.umich.edu\/media\/attachments\/2026\/09\/event_151993_original-53.png", "styled_images":{ "event_thumb":"https:\/\/events.umich.edu\/media\/cache\/resolve\/event_thumb\/media\/attachments\/2026\/09\/event_151993_original-53.png", "event_large":"https:\/\/events.umich.edu\/media\/cache\/event_large\/media\/attachments\/2026\/09\/event_151993_original-53.png", "event_large_2x":"https:\/\/events.umich.edu\/media\/cache\/resolve\/event_large_2x\/media\/attachments\/2026\/09\/event_151993_original-53.png", "event_large_lightbox":"https:\/\/events.umich.edu\/media\/cache\/resolve\/event_large_lightbox\/media\/attachments\/2026\/09\/event_151993_original-53.png", "group_thumb":"https:\/\/events.umich.edu\/media\/cache\/resolve\/group_thumb\/media\/attachments\/2026\/09\/event_151993_original-53.png", "group_thumb_square":"https:\/\/events.umich.edu\/media\/cache\/resolve\/group_thumb_square\/media\/attachments\/2026\/09\/event_151993_original-53.png", "group_large":"https:\/\/events.umich.edu\/media\/cache\/resolve\/group_large\/media\/attachments\/2026\/09\/event_151993_original-53.png", "group_large_lightbox":"https:\/\/events.umich.edu\/media\/cache\/resolve\/group_large_lightbox\/media\/attachments\/2026\/09\/event_151993_original-53.png", "event_large_crop":"https:\/\/events.umich.edu\/media\/cache\/resolve\/event_large_crop\/media\/attachments\/2026\/09\/event_151993_original-53.png", "event_list":"https:\/\/events.umich.edu\/media\/cache\/resolve\/event_list\/media\/attachments\/2026\/09\/event_151993_original-53.png", "event_list_2x":"https:\/\/events.umich.edu\/media\/cache\/event_list_2x\/media\/attachments\/2026\/09\/event_151993_original-53.png", "event_grid":"https:\/\/events.umich.edu\/media\/cache\/event_grid\/media\/attachments\/2026\/09\/event_151993_original-53.png", "event_grid_2x":"https:\/\/events.umich.edu\/media\/cache\/resolve\/event_grid_2x\/media\/attachments\/2026\/09\/event_151993_original-53.png", "event_feature_large":"https:\/\/events.umich.edu\/media\/cache\/resolve\/event_feature_large\/media\/attachments\/2026\/09\/event_151993_original-53.png", "event_feature_thumb":"https:\/\/events.umich.edu\/media\/cache\/resolve\/event_feature_thumb\/media\/attachments\/2026\/09\/event_151993_original-53.png" }, "occurrence_count":1, "first_occurrence":21912587 } , "150691-21909919": { "datetime_modified":"20260916T102711", "datetime_start":"20260925T100000", "datetime_end":"20260925T110000", "has_end_time":1, "date_start":"2026-09-25", "date_end":"2026-09-25", "time_start":"10:00:00", "time_end":"11:00:00", "time_zone":"America\/Detroit", "event_title":"La Tertulia: Spanish Coffee Hour", "occurrence_title":"", "combined_title":"La Tertulia: Spanish Coffee Hour", "event_subtitle":"", "event_type":"Social \/ Informal Gathering", "event_type_id":"19", "description":"Hola! \u00bfC\u00f3mo est\u00e1s?\n\n-Practice your Spanish-speaking skills with peers & instructors in a relaxed environment. All language levels and students are welcome to join the conversation.\n\n-Come & go as you please; stay as little or as long as you would like!\n\n-Free coffee, tea, light snacks, & baked goods.", "occurrence_notes":null, "guid":"150691-21909919@events.umich.edu", "permalink":"http:\/\/events.umich.edu\/event\/150691", "building_id":"1000207", "building_name":"Modern Languages Building", "campus_maps_id":"111", "room":"4314 MLB", "location_name":"Modern Languages Building", "has_livestream":0, "cost":"", "tags":["Culture","Central America","Coffee","Community","Undergraduate Students","Undergraduate","Study Abroad","Spanish","Spain","Social","Romance Languages And Literatures","Networking","Latin America","Language","International","Games","Free","Food","European","Europe","Engaged Learning","Community Engagement"], "website":"", "sponsors":[ { "group_name":"Romance Languages & Literatures RLL", "group_id":"2963", "website":"https:\/\/lsa.umich.edu\/rll" } ], 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"datetime_end":"20260925T120000", "has_end_time":1, "date_start":"2026-09-25", "date_end":"2026-09-25", "time_start":"10:30:00", "time_end":"12:00:00", "time_zone":"America\/Detroit", "event_title":"2026 Heberle Award and Lecture", "occurrence_title":"", "combined_title":"2026 Heberle Award and Lecture: The Slow Time of Rumination with Prof Amanda Anderson (Brown)", "event_subtitle":"The Slow Time of Rumination with Prof Amanda Anderson (Brown)", "event_type":"Lecture \/ Discussion", "event_type_id":"13", "description":"Please join the English Department for the 2026 Annual Lora Hutchins Heberle Award and Lecture with Professor Amanda Anderson of Brown University:\n\nSome of the most influential frameworks for understanding human thought -- in psychology, in moral and political philosophy, and in cognitive science -- have failed to recognize the quality, form, and significance of slow, persistent ruminative processes oriented toward experiences of moral shock or disturbance. Such experiences include but are not limited to profound loss, grief, regret, or injury, including those fundamental assaults on dignity we might designate as status-injury. Drawing on examples from the literary tradition, I demonstrate that rumination is a productive moral process and not merely a psychological symptom of oversensitivity or trauma endured. \n\nAbout the speaker:\nAmanda Anderson joined the Brown faculty in 2012 as the Andrew W. Mellon Professor of Humanities and English. She served as Director of the Cogut Institute for the Humanities from 2015-2026. Her research focuses on broad questions of intellectual history, disciplinary formation, and the relations among literature, moral life, and politics. She served as host of the podcast Meeting Street from 2020-2023. \n\nHer books include Rumination in Life and Literature: A Vindication (forthcoming University of Chicago Press, 2027), Humanities Theory (with Simon During, Oxford, 2025), Character: Three Inquiries in Literary Study (with Rita Felski and Toril Moi, Chicago, 2019), Psyche and Ethos: Moral Life After Psychology (Clarendon Lectures in English Literature) (Oxford, 2018), Bleak Liberalism (Chicago, 2016), The Way We Argue Now: A Study in the Cultures of Theory (Princeton, 2006), The Powers of Distance: Cosmopolitanism and the Cultivation of Detachment (Princeton, 2001), and Tainted Souls and Painted Faces: The Rhetoric of Fallenness in Victorian Culture (Cornell, 1993). She is co-editor of George Eliot: A Companion (Wiley-Blackwell, 2013) and Disciplinarity at the Fin de Si\u00e8cle (Princeton, 2002). \n\nFrom 2008-2014, she served as the director of the School of Criticism and Theory, an interdisciplinary summer institute hosted by Cornell University. She serves on the boards of the School of Criticism and Theory (as a Honorary Senior Fellow) and the international Consortium of Humanities Centers and Institutes. Prior to joining the Brown faculty, she was Caroline Donovan Professor of English Literature at Johns Hopkins University.", "occurrence_notes":null, "guid":"148160-21903171@events.umich.edu", "permalink":"http:\/\/events.umich.edu\/event\/148160", "building_id":"1", "building_name":"Angell Hall", "campus_maps_id":"12", "room":"3222", "location_name":"Angell Hall", "has_livestream":0, "cost":"", "tags":["English Language And Literature"], "website":"https:\/\/vivo.brown.edu\/display\/asa1", "sponsors":[ { "group_name":"Department of English Language and Literature", "group_id":"3604", "website":"" } ], "image_url":"https:\/\/events.umich.edu\/media\/attachments\/2026\/08\/event_148160_original-1.png", "styled_images":{ "event_thumb":"https:\/\/events.umich.edu\/media\/cache\/resolve\/event_thumb\/media\/attachments\/2026\/08\/crop-event_148160_original-1.png", "event_large":"https:\/\/events.umich.edu\/media\/cache\/resolve\/event_large\/media\/attachments\/2026\/08\/crop-event_148160_original-1.png", "event_large_2x":"https:\/\/events.umich.edu\/media\/cache\/event_large_2x\/media\/attachments\/2026\/08\/crop-event_148160_original-1.png", "event_large_lightbox":"https:\/\/events.umich.edu\/media\/cache\/event_large_lightbox\/media\/attachments\/2026\/08\/crop-event_148160_original-1.png", "group_thumb":"https:\/\/events.umich.edu\/media\/cache\/resolve\/group_thumb\/media\/attachments\/2026\/08\/crop-event_148160_original-1.png", "group_thumb_square":"https:\/\/events.umich.edu\/media\/cache\/resolve\/group_thumb_square\/media\/attachments\/2026\/08\/crop-event_148160_original-1.png", "group_large":"https:\/\/events.umich.edu\/media\/cache\/resolve\/group_large\/media\/attachments\/2026\/08\/crop-event_148160_original-1.png", "group_large_lightbox":"https:\/\/events.umich.edu\/media\/cache\/resolve\/group_large_lightbox\/media\/attachments\/2026\/08\/crop-event_148160_original-1.png", "event_large_crop":"https:\/\/events.umich.edu\/media\/cache\/resolve\/event_large_crop\/media\/attachments\/2026\/08\/crop-event_148160_original-1.png", "event_list":"https:\/\/events.umich.edu\/media\/cache\/resolve\/event_list\/media\/attachments\/2026\/08\/crop-event_148160_original-1.png", "event_list_2x":"https:\/\/events.umich.edu\/media\/cache\/event_list_2x\/media\/attachments\/2026\/08\/crop-event_148160_original-1.png", "event_grid":"https:\/\/events.umich.edu\/media\/cache\/event_grid\/media\/attachments\/2026\/08\/crop-event_148160_original-1.png", "event_grid_2x":"https:\/\/events.umich.edu\/media\/cache\/resolve\/event_grid_2x\/media\/attachments\/2026\/08\/crop-event_148160_original-1.png", "event_feature_large":"https:\/\/events.umich.edu\/media\/cache\/resolve\/event_feature_large\/media\/attachments\/2026\/08\/crop-event_148160_original-1.png", "event_feature_thumb":"https:\/\/events.umich.edu\/media\/cache\/event_feature_thumb\/media\/attachments\/2026\/08\/crop-event_148160_original-1.png" }, "occurrence_count":1, "first_occurrence":21903171 } }