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Presented By: Stone Center for Inequality Dynamics (CID)

Subjective Divorce Risk, Perceived Outside Options, and Intra-Household Allocation

Basit Zafar, University of Michigan

Fall 2026 Stone Center Speaker Series event graphic featuring Basit Zafar, Reuben Kempf Professor of Economics at the University of Michigan. Thursday, October 15, from 12 to 1:30 p.m. Fall 2026 Stone Center Speaker Series event graphic featuring Basit Zafar, Reuben Kempf Professor of Economics at the University of Michigan. Thursday, October 15, from 12 to 1:30 p.m.
Fall 2026 Stone Center Speaker Series event graphic featuring Basit Zafar, Reuben Kempf Professor of Economics at the University of Michigan. Thursday, October 15, from 12 to 1:30 p.m.
CID Speaker Series

Join the Stone Center for Inequality Dynamics as we host Basit Zafar, Reuben Kempf Professor of Economics in the University of Michigan’s LSA Department of Economics, for “Subjective Divorce Risk, Perceived Outside Options, and Intra-Household Allocation,” with Adeline Delavande, Gizem Kosar, and Alessandra Voena.

Abstract: Divorce is a central source of uncertainty for married households and a key determinant of labor supply, specialization, savings, and intra-household allocation. Using new survey data from married individuals and couples in the United States, the study elicits subjective divorce risk, expected outcomes if a marriage continues, and expected outcomes following divorce. It documents substantial heterogeneity in perceived divorce risk; measures expected effects on labor supply, fertility, health, and within-household allocation; and uses these expectations to inform a model of wives’ labor supply under divorce risk.

Please RSVP via the event page to save your seat.
Fall 2026 Stone Center Speaker Series event graphic featuring Basit Zafar, Reuben Kempf Professor of Economics at the University of Michigan. Thursday, October 15, from 12 to 1:30 p.m. Fall 2026 Stone Center Speaker Series event graphic featuring Basit Zafar, Reuben Kempf Professor of Economics at the University of Michigan. Thursday, October 15, from 12 to 1:30 p.m.
Fall 2026 Stone Center Speaker Series event graphic featuring Basit Zafar, Reuben Kempf Professor of Economics at the University of Michigan. Thursday, October 15, from 12 to 1:30 p.m.

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