Presented By: Gerald R. Ford Presidential Library
The 2020 Election: The Challenges and Changes Facing Political Polling
Peter D. Hart
Join us as Peter D. Hart, leading public opinion expert and pollster, takes a fun and interactive look at the latest polling trends, while sharing insights about key changes, demographic information, and top issues the country needs to know. In this period of rapid-fire change, Hart puts it all in context in an eye-opening look at polling, politics and public policy.
As to the 2020 election, Hart candidly warns against the predictive value of polls taken this far ahead of any presidential election. At this stage, so long before voters actually vote, according to Hart, poll numbers are “written in wet sand at the ocean’s edge.”
Mr. Hart goes on to say “There is an old — and true — axiom that holds that in politics, a week is a lifetime and a month can be an eternity ... History humbles us to admit that we really do have no idea who will be the presidential nominees, let alone the winner, in 2020.”
Hart, the respected pollster who has perfected his trade through his work in the past 15 presidential campaigns, is sometimes called the dean of this generation of pollsters. He has covered election night news since 1964, and has set the “gold standard” of public polling.
As to the 2020 election, Hart candidly warns against the predictive value of polls taken this far ahead of any presidential election. At this stage, so long before voters actually vote, according to Hart, poll numbers are “written in wet sand at the ocean’s edge.”
Mr. Hart goes on to say “There is an old — and true — axiom that holds that in politics, a week is a lifetime and a month can be an eternity ... History humbles us to admit that we really do have no idea who will be the presidential nominees, let alone the winner, in 2020.”
Hart, the respected pollster who has perfected his trade through his work in the past 15 presidential campaigns, is sometimes called the dean of this generation of pollsters. He has covered election night news since 1964, and has set the “gold standard” of public polling.
Explore Similar Events
-
Loading Similar Events...