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Presented By: Department of Economics

Will Central Bank Digital Currency Disintermediate Banks?

Toni Whited, University of Michigan

Toni Whited, University of Michigan Toni Whited, University of Michigan
Toni Whited, University of Michigan
We estimate a dynamic banking model to quantify the impact of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) on banks. Our counterfactuals show that a one-dollar introduction of CBDC replaces bank deposits by 80 cents on the margin. Lending falls by 25% of the drop in deposits because banks partially replace lost deposits with wholesale funding. This substitution raises banks’ interest-rate risk exposure, lowering their resilience to negative equity shocks. If CBDC bears interest or is intermediated through banks, it captures a greater deposit market share, amplifying the impact on lending. CBDC especially affects small banks, which face expensive wholesale funding.
Toni Whited, University of Michigan Toni Whited, University of Michigan
Toni Whited, University of Michigan

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