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Presented By: Department of Economics

How Do Consumers Finance Increased Retirement Savings?

Taha Choukhmane, MIT Sloan School of Management

Taha Choukhmane Taha Choukhmane
Taha Choukhmane
Higher retirement savings might not translate into net wealth accumulation if, rather than cutting spending, individuals reduce their non-retirement savings or take on more debt. We use newly merged deposit-, credit-, and pension-account data from a large UK financial institution to examine a national policy that gradually increased retirement contributions from 2% to 8% of salary between March 2018 and April 2019. For every £1 reduction in take-home pay due to higher employee contributions, employees cut their spending by £0.34, especially in the restaurant and leisure categories, and financed the remainder with lower deposit balances and higher debt. Those with lower initial deposit balances cut their spending the most, while those with significant liquid savings first draw down their deposits. We use a lifecycle model calibrated to match the observed short-term responses to predict that long-run spending responses are larger but feature similar heterogeneity. Finally, we examine the welfare consequences of potential policy reforms using a sufficient statistics approach. A social planner concerned about undersaving for retirement due to heterogeneous present bias would avoid targeting retirement interventions at high-liquidity individuals, who are both less likely to cut their spending and less likely to be present-biased.

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