Skip to Content

Sponsors

No results

Keywords

No results

Types

No results

Search Results

Events

No results
Search events using: keywords, sponsors, locations or event type
When / Where
All occurrences of this event have passed.
This listing is displayed for historical purposes.

Presented By: Department of Economics

Identification and Optimal Reserve Prices in English Auctions, with an Application to Art

Kirill Ponomarev, University of Chicago

Block M Block M
Block M
We develop a partial-identification approach for English auctions with private values, auction-level heterogeneity unobserved by the analyst, and a potentially unknown number of bidders. Our framework permits restrictions on dependence among bidders’ valuations away from the extreme cases of independent private values and perfect correlation, yielding sharp and informative bounds on the distribution of the highest valuation and the seller’s expected profit. We formulate reserve-price choice as a minimax-regret problem and derive tractable solutions to two relaxations of this problem. We apply our method to a new dataset covering more than 3,500 lots auctioned by Christie’s and Sotheby’s. For modern art sold in New York City with pre-sale estimates between $1 million and $10 million, we find that setting the reserve price 37 percent above the sellers projected value from retaining an unsold lot increases expected profit by approximately $150,000 to $489,000 per lot, equivalent to 27 to 87 percent of average realized profit.

Explore Similar Events

  •  Loading Similar Events...

Back to Main Content