Presented By: Department of Economics
Economic Theory: Scoring Strategic Agents
Ian Ball, Microsoft Research and MIT
Abstract
I introduce a model of predictive scoring. A receiver wants to predict a sender’s quality. An intermediary observes multiple features of the sender and aggregates them into a score. Based on the score, the receiver takes a decision. The sender wants the most favorable decision, and she can distort each feature at a privately known cost. I characterize the most accurate scoring rule. This rule underweights some features to deter sender distortion, and overweights other features so that the score is correct on average. The receiver prefers this score to full disclosure because the aggregated information mitigates his commitment problem.
I introduce a model of predictive scoring. A receiver wants to predict a sender’s quality. An intermediary observes multiple features of the sender and aggregates them into a score. Based on the score, the receiver takes a decision. The sender wants the most favorable decision, and she can distort each feature at a privately known cost. I characterize the most accurate scoring rule. This rule underweights some features to deter sender distortion, and overweights other features so that the score is correct on average. The receiver prefers this score to full disclosure because the aggregated information mitigates his commitment problem.
Co-Sponsored By
Livestream Information
LivestreamOctober 9, 2020 (Friday) 2:30pm
Joining Information Not Yet Available
Explore Similar Events
-
Loading Similar Events...