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Presented By: Department of Economics Seminars

A Temporary VAT Cut as Unconventional Fiscal Policy

Rudi Bachmann, University of Notre Dame

Rudi Bachmann, University of Notre Dame Rudi Bachmann, University of Notre Dame
Rudi Bachmann, University of Notre Dame
We exploit the temporary VAT cut in Germany in the second half of 2020 as a natural experiment to study the spending response to unconventional fiscal policy. We use survey and scanner data on households’ consumption expenditures and their perceived pass-through of the tax change into prices to quantify the effects of this VAT policy. The temporary VAT cut led to a relative increase in durable spending of 32 percent for individuals with a high perceived pass-through. Semi- and non-durable spending also increased. The VAT policy increased aggregate consumption spending by 23 billion Euros, or 1.4 percent.
Rudi Bachmann, University of Notre Dame Rudi Bachmann, University of Notre Dame
Rudi Bachmann, University of Notre Dame

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